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Böll EU Newsletter 9/2024
Growing challenges, declining majorities

Dear friends,

What a show these last couple of weeks have been. The return of Donald Trump, the rupture of the German federal government, and then the ridicule of the Commissioner-designate hearings in the European Parliament.

Challenges are rising, but stable majorities in Europe are eroding. It is increasingly difficult to build consensus and have a stable centre of political gravity. The caretaker French government is teetering on the brink. The upcoming federal election in Germany means that Berlin will be busy with domestic affairs until summer 2025. The Dutch government nearly collapsed over antisemitism and islamophobia. Poland is already gearing up for its 2025 presidential election and new rogue political upstarts are emerging, such as the far-right presidential candidate in Romania. The political landscape is fracturing.

The European Parliament is particularly divided. From budget questions and the deforestation regulation to the election of von der Leyen and the Commission hearings, different majorities emerge on different issues. This does not increase stability – in fact, it hurts the authority of the European Parliament as an institution. This is the first time in 25 years that no European Commissioner-designate was replaced. Similarly, yesterday – with 370 votes – the European Commission was adopted with the lowest majority in its history. The divisions in the EP seem to be pushing it to the fringes.

In this political constellation, it’s Commission President von der Leyen who shoulders particular responsibility and has the potential for political leadership in Europe. It was her who smoothed the way for large parts of the democratic centre in the European Parliament to vote for her Commission, by changing portfolios and names of some Commissioners and disempowering one Executive Vice President.

It is also her, who is pro-actively looking to shape the transatlantic relationship under Trump. While some are recommending the EU quickly organise an EU-China Summit with Xi Jinping, an absurd proposition, she is already thinking of areas of EU-US cooperation be it with regards to economic security, increasing European defence efforts as well as more procurement of US LNG and weapons.

Time will tell, whether she will be able to steer the EU through this difficult environment. She will need strong EU Member States, such as a stable new German federal government, on her side. 

In this context, I invite you to read our work on the US elections and what they mean for the European Union, save the date for our webinar on 12 December where we will discuss what Trump 2.0 means for Ukraine and transatlantic security, and check out the policy papers from our EU/North America Division in Berlin, that look into 6 specific policy fields and what EU reforms are necessary in order to make the EU enlargement-ready.

Warm regards,

Highlights

On 18 July 2024, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen was elected for a second mandate and presented to the European Parliament her Political Guidelines for the next European Commission. A new European Commission will kick-off its work on 1 December 2024, after its approval by the European Parliament. We take a look at von der Leyen's promises for the first 100 days (and beyond) of the new European Commission.

Read more

Web dossier | The US 2024 elections from a green and European perspective

The outcome of the 2024 elections in the USA will have far-reaching international consequences. How will the result affect Transatlantic relations, Europe's security policy and global climate policy? In this web dossier, the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung addresses these and other questions from a green and European perspective.

 

European Union: How Can Reform and Enlargement Succeed? Impetus for the Reform Debate

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung has invited experts to provide impetus for the EU reform debate in a number of policy areas. The result is a series of policy papers, some of which propose pragmatic approaches, others a change of direction. In their entirety, they are intended to improve the EU's capacity to act, as well as make it more democratic, ecological and socially just. Our conclusion: There is potential for a successful reform process, and Germany can play a key role in achieving it.

 

Boosting participation in the energy transition: Five action areas for the new EU policy cycle

The shift from fossil fuels to renewables promises affordability and energy security but poses challenges in equitable implementation. Vulnerable households often face disproportionate burdens, highlighting the need for socially inclusive policies. Innovative measures like energy sharing, dynamic tariffs, and local transition management are emerging to bridge these gaps. A new report with the Green European Foundation explores how citizens can benefit better from the energy transition.

 

New Soil Atlas 2024: Facts and figures about a vital resource

Healthy soils are a basic requirement for producing nutritious food, preserving biodiversity and adapting to climate change. But the condition of the soils is poor, with more than a third of the world's agricultural land being considered degraded. In the European Union, more than 60 percent of soils are now damaged - caused, among other factors, by industrial agriculture and the effects of the climate crisis such as droughts. This is outlined in the Soil Atlas 2024, published by the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung and TMG Think Tank for Sustainability.

 

Upcoming events

Thursday 12.12.2024, 10:30 CET

Trump 2.0: Scenario implications for Ukraine and Transatlantic security

This webinar will discuss how the European Union and its Member States could adjust their Ukraine and NATO policies, in light of the imminent return of Donald Trump to the White House, with the authors of the study "US elections and European cohesion: Scenario implications for Ukraine and Transatlantic security" Rachel Tausendfreund, Senior Research Fellow, USA/Transatlantic Relations, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) and Roderick Kefferpütz, Director, Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union.

Register now
 

Tuesday 3.12.2024, 14:00 CET

What to do to speed up offshore energy? EU-UK views on improving our energy networks

The North Sea is on the way to become Europe’s renewable powerhouse. This sea basin alone would then be the home to a higher power generation capacity than the sum of all nuclear power plants worldwide. While businesses and households hope for affordable electricity to lower their bills, the steel and chemicals industries eye offshore wind as a source for hydrogen to replace fossil fuels in their production processes. 

Even more than on the mainland, the grids are the bottleneck for the access to renewables. One year after the launch of the EU’s Grid Action Plan and a few days after the ministerial meeting of the North Sea Energy Corporation, this webinar brings together EU and UK practitioners whose job is to prepare our energy networks for a renewable energy system.

We will discuss solutions for better connecting not only wind farms but also the EU and its neighbours in view of accelerating the energy transition.

Register now
 

Thursday 5.12.2024, 16:00 CET

Soil Atlas 2024: Global and local perspectives on a vital, high-in-demand resource

The ground beneath our feet is a true all-rounder. It is the most species-rich habitat on our planet, it stores gigantic amounts of carbon and water, feeds people and animals, and provides the ground for flowers to bloom and trees to grow. Soil is a vital resource – and it is under serious threat. Globally, around one-third of soils are degraded. Yesterday's fertile humus is drying out, and more and more soil is being sealed off for infrastructure development. Conflicts over increasingly scarce land are rising.

The Soil Atlas 2024 highlights not only the consequences of global soil loss but also the potential of sustainable and equitable land use for climate protection and biodiversity.

This webinar, taking place during the Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), will emphasize concrete experiences with soil restoration from different continents. It will also address the necessary framework conditions for soil restoration such as land rights.

Register now
 

Thursday 12.12.2024 to Friday 13.12.2024

Conference: Towards an international regulatory framework for pesticides

The Second Conference, “Towards an International Regulatory Framework for Pesticides,” aims to foster dialogue on the indiscriminate use of pesticides, their effects on human health and the environment, and potential solutions to these pressing issues. The event is scheduled to take place on December 12–13, 2024, in Brussels, Belgium.

This conference is being organized under the leadership of Members of the European Parliament Martin Häusling, Majdouline Sbai, and Tilly Metz – in collaboration with the International Pesticide Standard Alliance (IPSA), the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, the International Centre for Water and Transdisciplinarity (CIRAT, Brazil), the Brazilian Federal Public Prosecutor’s Office (MPF), and the Brazilian Ministry of Labour Prosecutor’s Office (MPT).

Register now
 
Photo credits:
Joan Lanfranco | Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung EU, All rights reserved
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung EU, All rights reserved
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung EU, All rights reserved
Green European Foundation, CC BY-SA 4.0
Eimermacher/stockmarpluswalter, CC-BY 4.0
Maxim Studio | Shutterstock, All rights reserved
iStock, All rights reserved

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung is a German political foundation affiliated with the German Green Party (Alliance 90/The Greens). Its primary task is political education and advocacy in Germany and abroad. Our main tenets are ecology and sustainability, democracy and human rights, non-violence and justice. In our work, we place particular emphasis on gender democracy, equal rights for minorities and the political and social participation of migrants.

Our namesake, the writer and Nobel Prize laureate Heinrich Böll, personifies the fundamental principles we stand for: defence of freedom and human dignity, civic courage, open debate and the acknowledgement of art and culture as independent spheres of thought and action. As a think tank for green visions and ideas, we are part of an international network with 34 offices worldwide and with partner projects in more than 60 countries.

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union represents the foundation vis-à-vis European and international institutions, associations, non-governmental organisations and media based in Brussels. The office is a main point of contact for individuals, groups and organisations from around the world interested in EU politics and policies. The future of the European project and the role of the European Union in the world are at the centre of our activities and efforts.

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