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Böll EU Newsletter 1/2025
Trump 2.0: Brace for impact

Dear friends,

Brace for impact: Trump is moving full-speed ahead with his reactionary agenda. Signing over 100 executive actions, he has declared the border with Mexico a national emergency, lifted restrictions for oil and gas drilling, withdrawn the US from the Paris Climate agreement and the World Health Organization, weakened AI safety regulation, and more.

The challenges and threats Trump 2.0 poses for the international rules-based order, liberal democracy, and climate protection are undeniable. The European Union is particularly in his crosshairs, because in many ways it represents everything he stands in opposition to.

Watching the inauguration of President Trump, I was struck by the weight of the moment and the urgent need to meet the challenge with acuity, unity, and resolve; as highlighted in our transatlantic scenarios on Ukraine and the green transition. A third scenario paper, focusing specifically on the future of the EU-US Trade and Technology Council (TTC), now rounds off this series. And today, our head office in Berlin has hosted a webinar to discuss the global repercussions of Trump 2.0 and its impact on civil societies worldwide. 

The coming months will demand our attention on many fronts: from the evolving political constellations in Europe following critical elections to the defence and security of our continent, as well as the competitiveness and green transformation of European industry. 

Let me highlight two particularly pressing items.

First: The necessity of strengthening partnerships with like-minded countries. As Trump isolates the United States from international institutions, builds walls, and bullies other nations, it is crucial for the EU to build bridges and deepen international collaboration.

In this context, 2025 will be a year of global engagement for our EU Office. We will host a range of expert groups, especially from the Global South, and aim to collaborate closely with our India office on EU-India relations.

Second: the increasing and disruptive ties between authoritarian movements and social media. Trump and the “tech broligarchs” exemplify this dynamic. Our President, Jan Philipp Albrecht, has addressed this issue in an op-ed with the Tagesspiegel (in German), which is also critical for democratic resilience and the proposed "European Democracy Shield," a topic we are actively working on.

In this context, we are expanding our outreach on platforms such as Bluesky and LinkedIn, and encourage you to follow us there. LinkedIn, in particular, is noteworthy: while it holds the title of most trusted digital platform globally, it is not immune to challenges like climate misinformation. Our recent explainer delves into this issue

I hope these work streams of ours resonate with you, as we navigate this challenging period together. 

Warm regards and all the best for 2025,

Focus on Trump 2.0

Web dossier | Trump 2.0: Transatlantic relations at a crossroads

Donald Trump's return to the White House will have far-reaching international consequences. How will it affect Transatlantic relations, Europe's security policy and global climate policy? In this web dossier, the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung addresses these and other questions from a green and European perspective.

 

E-paper | The Future of the EU– US Trade and Technology Council

Will the EU-US Trade and Technology Council (TTC) shape a resilient future or succumb to geopolitical rifts? While there is considerable uncertainty over how this will play out, it is clear that the future of the TTC will hang on the outcome of any eventual negotiations. The challenges presented by renewed tensions over tariffs also suggest that maintaining a continued platform for regular EU-US dialogue over trade could be more important than ever, even if the space for cooperation is diminished. If the TTC can be restructured to suit a new phase of the EU–US relationship, it could emerge with a central role to address the challenges that the EU and US must meet together, including on the intersection of climate and trade.

This in-depth exploration of scenarios, challenges, and opportunities for transatlantic collaboration on trade, tech, and climate action outlines possible futures. By Ellie Belton and Max Gruenig (E3G).

 

Analysis | For climate protection, this Trump Presidency could be worse than the last

On the campaign trail in 2024 and since the November election, former president Donald Trump has not let up in denying the tie between fossil-fuel use and global warming. His supporters include the world’s largest petroleum companies and they are expecting to be paid back. But it won’t happen on ‘day one,’ as he claims. By Paul Hockenos for the Energy Transition Blog.

 

Event recording | Global repercussions: How a second Trump administration will impact democratic civil societies (22.01.2025)

This online conversation, just days after Trump's inauguration, shared voices from the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung's global network (USA, Mexico, Poland and the Middle East). It explored what impact a second Trump Administration will have on these respective countries and regions, in particular on green issues and democratic resilience, how civil societies intend to push back, as well as what communities in the US can learn from these other contexts.

 

New content

Vacancy | Trainee (March-July 2025), Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union, Brussels

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union office in Brussels is welcoming applications for its new traineeship programme, running from March to July 2025. The selected Trainee will work together with all our EU office team, learning by doing, and supporting the implementation of our office projects. The deadline for applications is Sunday 2 February 2025, 23:59 CET.

 

Analysis | The world elects: Assessing the super election year 2024 

There has been extensive commentary of 2024 having been an ‘election super-year’. Elections were held in over 70 countries, with over half the global population going to the polls. This report assesses the outcomes of these elections. Self-evidently, it can paint only a very broad-brush picture and deliberately avoids going into the detail of electoral contests in any particular country. The report offers reflections on what the impact of the election super-year is likely to be on key policy issues, and also on the deeper systemic state of democracy. It does this by suggesting eight cross-cutting lessons that emerged from the plethora of national elections held in 2024. Analysis by Richard Youngs (Carnegie Europe).

Read more
 

Explainer | Study finds climate misinformation lurking in LinkedIn’s trusted environment

Digital trust is a Trojan horse. For years, LinkedIn has maintained its position as the most trusted digital platform globally. Yet this same trust may be its greatest vulnerability. When we feel safe, our defences drop. And misinformation thrives in these unguarded moments. By Ira Pragnya Senapati (Ripple Research).

Read more
 

NEW Water Atlas 2025 | Launching in English in Autumn 2025 

Water covers two thirds of the earth, is essential to life and has always shaped culture, the environment and humanity. But this essential resource is under threat: overuse, pollution and the climate crisis are destabilising the water cycle. The Water Atlas 2025 aims to focus the public debate on protecting our waters, looking at threatening developments: groundwater levels are falling, drinking water supplies and ecosystems are at risk. Industry, agriculture and our growing need for resources are putting a significant strain on water quality. Microplastics, chemicals and pesticides are endangering people and nature alike. Extreme weather events such as droughts or floods are increasing. Disadvantaged regions are particularly affected, which increases social tensions and conflicts. The connections between water and climate are complex and often poorly understood. The Water Atlas 2025 raises awareness of these challenges and shows concrete approaches for sustainable water management.

Stay tuned for the English version launch in Brussels, in Autumn 2025!

Read more [in German]
 

Events

Wednesday 29.01.2024
Launch of the Europe Sustainable Development Report 2025

The Europe Sustainable Development Report 2025 (6th edition) provides an independent quantitative assessment of the progress by the European Union, its Member States and partner countries towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). It was prepared by a group of independent experts at the Sustainable Development Solutions Network. Co-designed and co-created by and with civil society in Europe, it is published with the support of the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union.

It will be launched on Wednesday 29 January 2025 at 10:00-11:30 CET in Brussels, at the European Economic and Social Committee. The event is webstreamed with interpretation in English, French and German. No registration required.

More info
 
Photo credits:

 angela n., CC-BY 2.0
US Department of State, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
DarwelShots | Shutterstock, All rights reserved
IMAGO / Alex Edelman, All rights reserved
Sichon | Shutterstock, rawpixel & Laura Moreno | Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung EU, All rights reserved
Wizzi site | Shutterstock, All rights reserved
Eimermacher/stockmarpluswalter, CC BY 4.0
Sustainable Development Solutions Network, all rights reserved

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung is a German political foundation affiliated with the German Green Party (Alliance 90/The Greens). Its primary task is political education and advocacy in Germany and abroad. Our main tenets are ecology and sustainability, democracy and human rights, non-violence and justice. In our work, we place particular emphasis on gender democracy, equal rights for minorities and the political and social participation of migrants.

Our namesake, the writer and Nobel Prize laureate Heinrich Böll, personifies the fundamental principles we stand for: defence of freedom and human dignity, civic courage, open debate and the acknowledgement of art and culture as independent spheres of thought and action. As a think tank for green visions and ideas, we are part of an international network with 34 offices worldwide and with partner projects in more than 60 countries.

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union represents the foundation vis-à-vis European and international institutions, associations, non-governmental organisations and media based in Brussels. The office is a main point of contact for individuals, groups and organisations from around the world interested in EU politics and policies. The future of the European project and the role of the European Union in the world are at the centre of our activities and efforts.

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