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Böll EU Newsletter 09/2026
Blue-nami! Smile and carry on

Dear friends,

It’s a Blue-nami!

The Democrats sweep both chambers of Congress with sensational wins: First Democratic senator in Kansas in nearly 100 years. The first in Texas in 38 years, and the first in South Carolina in 28 years.

These are not just fleeting electoral victories. These gains are locked in for six years in traditionally Republican strongholds. They shift the balance of power in the Senate well beyond Trump's presidency. Whether this marks a broader political realignment or merely a temporary backlash against Trump remains to be seen. Much will depend on what the Democrats make of it. Read our 3 Questions to Paul Kohlenberg, Director of our Washington, DC office.

And what does this mean for Europe?

Stay the course: Deepen partnerships with like-minded countries such as Canada (read our 3 Questions to MdB Julian Joswig). Continue building strategic sovereignty. Invest in our own European capabilities.

A Democratic Congress may constrain Trump, but it will not make him any less unpredictable. He could well respond to his electoral defeat by taking an even harder line on the EU. As fortunate as these midterm results are, they solve none of the challenges facing Europe. We must therefore resist any temptation to relax or change course.

Smile and carry on.

Warm regards,

Roderick Kefferpütz
Director
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung
European Union | Global Dialogue

Highlights

3 Questions on the US midterm election results to Paul Kohlenberg

A blue wave swept the 2026 US midterms. Democrats made significant gains in both the House and the Senate, while Republicans suffered historic losses. The results reshape the balance of power in Washington and raise pressing questions about the final two years of the Trump presidency and the future of transatlantic relations. We asked three questions to Paul Kohlenberg, Director of the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung Washington, DC office, on the midterm election key takeaways and their implications for EU-US relations.

 

German Rearmament: Handle with Care - Public Attitudes in Six EU Member States

Germany is rearming. How do its European partners feel about it? A new Böll EU Brief by Roderick Kefferpütz presents what is, to our knowledge, the first public survey of its kind, with more than 9,000 people in France, Poland, Italy, Greece, Lithuania and Czechia. Two thirds support German rearmament, but backing varies by country and does not always come with trust. The top concern is the rise of extremist forces in Germany. Asked who should lead the defence of Europe, the largest group wants the EU to share that role, with no single country in charge. Germany must rearm, but also reassure.

 

3 Questions on EU-Canada relations to Julian Joswig MdB

As geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over transatlantic relations reshape international partnerships, the EU and Canada are looking to deepen their cooperation. Following their Summit in Montreal on 29-30 October 2026, we spoke to Julian Joswig MdB, Committee Coordinator for the Green Parliamentary Group on the Bundestag Committee on EU Affairs, about the outcomes of the meeting, Canada’s proposed associate membership of the EU, and the future of transatlantic relations.

 

Reaching young men: How progressives can connect with them online

In the 2024 European elections, 21 per cent of men aged 16 to 29 voted far-right, compared with 14 per cent of women in the same age group. A new study analysed influencers and politicians in France, Germany and the UK. Far-right creators begin with fitness, gaming, jobs and housing, and offer a sense of belonging. Progressive creators tend to be political from the outset and largely defensive. This Böll EU Brief by Dr. Johannes Hillje & Ripple Research offers five recommendations to help progressive actors listen to and engage young men better, from starting with everyday concerns to offering role models for modern masculinity.

 

3 Questions on Lula's victory in Brazil to Regine Schönenberg

Lula has won a historic fourth term, a hopeful signal that the far right can be defeated at the ballot box. Young voters, grassroots activists and more than 10 million members of “Lula’s Army” turned the tide in three weeks. Regine Schönenberg, Director of the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung office in Rio de Janeiro, explains what drove this comeback, how civil society can defend social justice, climate and Indigenous rights against a conservative Congress, and what Europe should prioritise now.

 

European by Default 2026: Sovereign, Cooperative and Ambitious: Expectations for Germany‘s European Policy

The majority of respondents want a Europe that is more independent of the US and forges new international partnerships. There is also broad support for a stronger European economy, even if this comes at a higher cost. These are among the findings of this year’s edition of our study on Germany’s role in the EU, by Dr. Maria Skóra (Das Progressive Zentrum) & Georg McCutcheon (Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung).

 

Factsheet: How Europe’s electricity markets survived the stress test of the heatwave 

Europe’s warmest summer on record put its electricity system to the test. Soaring demand, drought-hit hydropower and nuclear plants starved of cooling water sent hourly prices close to €1,000/MWh across Central and Eastern Europe. Solar kept the system standing, now covering more than half of midday demand and saving consumers around €1.13 billion in late June alone. But evening price spikes reveal what is missing: storage. This factsheet by Jordi Schröder Bosch (Positive Money Europe) sets out what EU policymakers must do to keep the lights on.

 

Web dossier: COP31: UN Climate Change Conference in Antalya, Turkey

The 31st UN Climate Change Conference (COP31) will take place in Antalya, Turkey, from 9 to 20 November 2026. This dossier contains analyses and commentary on key issues and negotiation topics, as well as updates from our delegation at the COP31.

 

New storage markets change the game

The ’battery revolution’ is transforming the debate over whether renewables can power whole economies. New battery storage options can be the backbone of a complex, decentralized, volatile grid. Paul Hockenos reports.

 
Call for applications: Climate Leadership Programme
Deadline for applications: Tuesday 10 November 2026, 23:59 CET
More info

The Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), with the support of the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union | Global Dialogue, is launching an open call for eight young climate leaders to join the Climate Leadership Programme, running from December 2026 to March 2027.

The programme combines online masterclasses and skills training with a week in Brussels, including participation in CEPS’ flagship event, Ideas Lab, on 4 and 5 March 2027. It offers participants the opportunity to deepen their understanding of EU climate policymaking, develop practical skills, connect with climate leaders from around the world and engage directly with the European policy community.

Photo credits:
U. J. Alexander | Shutterstock, All rights reserved
Office of Julian Joswig MdB, All rights reserved
Alexander Narraina | Shutterstock, All rights reserved
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung & Das Progressive Zentrum, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung EU, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
CEPS, All rights reserved

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung is a German political foundation affiliated with the German Green Party (Alliance 90/The Greens). Its primary task is political education and advocacy in Germany and abroad. Our main tenets are ecology and sustainability, democracy and human rights, non-violence and justice. In our work, we place particular emphasis on gender democracy, equal rights for minorities and the political and social participation of migrants.

Our namesake, the writer and Nobel Prize laureate Heinrich Böll, personifies the fundamental principles we stand for: defence of freedom and human dignity, civic courage, open debate and the acknowledgement of art and culture as independent spheres of thought and action. As a think tank for green visions and ideas, we are part of an international network with 34 offices worldwide and with partner projects in more than 60 countries.

The Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung European Union | Global Dialogue represents the foundation vis-à-vis European and international institutions, associations, non-governmental organisations and media based in Brussels. The office is a main point of contact for individuals, groups and organisations from around the world interested in EU politics and policies. The future of the European project and the role of the European Union in the world are at the centre of our activities and efforts.

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